Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Foligno 49.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 57.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Sissons
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sissons
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Sissons
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
49.5% (291)
+8.4%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
55.8% (43)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
47.2% (53)
+5.6%
On even strength, Sissons has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Sissons
Foligno
Home
53.6% (278)
48.9% (178)
Away
60.0% (305)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Sissons
Foligno
P1
56.2%
43.0%
P2
58.3%
55.9%
P3
56.4%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |