Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 62.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 86.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 87.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Sissons
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Sissons
Schmaltz
Last 7: Sissons 3-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Sissons
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Sissons
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
45.9% (697)
+12.0%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
47.9% (117)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
48.0% (25)
+4.8%
On power play, Sissons has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Sissons is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Sissons shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Sissons
Schmaltz
Home
53.6% (278)
44.9% (434)
Away
60.0% (305)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Sissons
Schmaltz
P1
56.2%
41.5%
P2
58.3%
46.7%
P3
56.4%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |