Colton Sissons vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 92.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 71.4%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
46.0% (250)
+11.9%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
70.6% (17)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
31.8% (22)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.6% (278)
50.3% (175)
Away
60.0% (305)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Sissons
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.2%
48.5%
P2
58.3%
45.9%
P3
56.4%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |