Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 81.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 73.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Sissons
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Sissons
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Sissons
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Sissons
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
55.7% (856)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
57.5% (233)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
50.0% (144)
+2.8%
On power play, Sissons has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Sissons
O'Reilly
Home
53.6% (278)
55.5% (616)
Away
60.0% (305)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Sissons
O'Reilly
P1
56.2%
58.1%
P2
58.3%
54.9%
P3
56.4%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |