Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 54.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 86.5%
Neutral zone
Sissons 72.3%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Sissons
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sissons
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
48.3% (497)
+8.8%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
63.6% (11)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
38.5% (39)
+7.9%
On power play, Lorentz has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Sissons
Lorentz
Home
54.8% (569)
50.4% (238)
Away
52.1% (539)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Sissons
Lorentz
P1
56.1%
49.1%
P2
49.6%
48.0%
P3
54.8%
47.2%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
56.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |