Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.5%). Sissons wins 62.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Stamkos 55.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 88.7%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Sissons
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sissons
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
57.1% (368)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
55.2% (96)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
50.0% (10)
+2.8%
On power play, Sissons has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sissons is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Sissons shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Sissons
Stamkos
Home
53.6% (278)
53.9% (230)
Away
60.0% (305)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Sissons
Stamkos
P1
56.2%
56.7%
P2
58.3%
54.1%
P3
56.4%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |