Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.3%). Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 48 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.9% vs Hertl 54.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 54-42 in 96 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 83.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 75.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Sissons
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
54
(96 meetings)
42
54
Sissons
Hertl
Last 10: Sissons 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
40
Sissons
Hertl
48 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
22
6
Sissons
Hertl
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
12
8
Sissons
Hertl
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (6,081)
53.9% (8,303)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.6% (459)
59.2% (1,995)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,894)
46.3% (806)
+2.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,977).
Sissons shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Sissons
Hertl
Home
54.1% (4,256)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
53.7% (4,178)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Sissons
Hertl
P1
53.8%
53.6%
P2
53.2%
54.2%
P3
54.8%
55.3%
OT
49.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
53.9%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |