Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Zegras 41.5% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 57.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 97.8%
Neutral zone
Sissons 94.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 95.5%
95.5%
4.5%
Sissons
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sissons
Zegras
Last 5: Sissons 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
39.4% (510)
+17.6%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
47.1% (34)
+9.7%
On even strength, Sissons has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Sissons is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Sissons shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Sissons
Zegras
Home
55.9% (680)
42.3% (272)
Away
55.4% (612)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Sissons
Zegras
P1
54.2%
37.6%
P2
55.0%
41.5%
P3
58.4%
40.8%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
55.7%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |