Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.8% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 63.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 90.0%
Neutral zone
Sissons 73.6%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Sissons 5-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
2
Sissons
Ostapchuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (436)
52.2% (312)
+5.4%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
33.3% (3)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
43.9% (57)
+8.9%
On power play, Sissons has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Sissons shoots right. Ostapchuk is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Home
53.3% (274)
49.1% (161)
Away
60.0% (305)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Sissons
Ostapchuk
P1
55.7%
50.8%
P2
58.3%
47.1%
P3
56.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Ostapchuk
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |