Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.9% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 64.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 90.0%
Neutral zone
Sissons 75.5%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Sissons 5-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
2
Sissons
Ostapchuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (439)
52.5% (320)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
33.3% (3)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (123)
42.4% (59)
+10.4%
On power play, Sissons has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Sissons is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Sissons shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Sissons
Ostapchuk
Home
53.6% (278)
49.1% (171)
Away
60.0% (305)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Sissons
Ostapchuk
P1
56.2%
50.4%
P2
58.3%
46.8%
P3
56.4%
55.1%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
59.5%
56.9%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |