Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Brown 45.8% (+20.8%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 54.8%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Bedard
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
28.6% (14)
+15.6%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
0.0% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
33.3% (3)
+20.5%
On power play, Bedard has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Bedard shoots right. Brown is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Bedard
Brown
Home
50.7% (223)
16.7% (6)
Away
42.6% (331)
28.6% (14)
By Period
Bedard
Brown
P1
40.2%
20.0%
P2
49.2%
25.0%
P3
47.2%
33.3%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
25.0%