Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Eichel 48.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 50.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 55.7%
Neutral zone
Bedard 50.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Bedard
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Bedard
Eichel
Last 9: Bedard 4-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Bedard
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Bedard
Eichel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
48.2% (909)
-4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
55.2% (67)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
41.2% (97)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Bedard shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Bedard
Eichel
Home
50.7% (223)
48.0% (564)
Away
42.6% (331)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Bedard
Eichel
P1
40.2%
49.8%
P2
49.2%
48.6%
P3
47.2%
46.7%
OT
57.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |