Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Roslovic 45.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 60.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 74.0%
Neutral zone
Bedard 58.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Bedard
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bedard
Roslovic
Last 7: Bedard 3-4 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Roslovic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
3
Bedard
Roslovic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Roslovic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
45.0% (3,012)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
48.4% (341)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
34.3% (105)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Bedard shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,071).
Home / Away
Bedard
Roslovic
Home
43.3% (785)
44.0% (1,739)
Away
38.9% (957)
46.0% (1,719)
By Period
Bedard
Roslovic
P1
38.9%
45.5%
P2
41.2%
44.9%
P3
42.5%
44.8%
OT
42.9%
31.8%
Final 5 min
44.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |