Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bedard wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Benn 52.9% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 85.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 88.2%
Neutral zone
Bedard 87.5%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Bedard
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Bedard
Benn
Last 9: Bedard 1-8 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Bedard
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
6
Bedard
Benn
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
53.5% (6,456)
-13.3%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
52.6% (2,055)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
49.3% (515)
+0.7%
On even strength, Benn has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Bedard shoots right. Benn is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,771).
Home / Away
Bedard
Benn
Home
43.3% (785)
54.9% (4,550)
Away
38.9% (957)
51.0% (4,492)
By Period
Bedard
Benn
P1
38.9%
51.9%
P2
41.2%
52.6%
P3
42.5%
54.0%
OT
42.9%
62.4%
Final 5 min
44.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |