Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Beecher 51.7% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 87.4%
Defensive zone
Beecher 79.3%
Neutral zone
Beecher 59.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Bedard
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Bedard
Beecher
Last 8: Bedard 4-4 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Beecher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Beecher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
3
Bedard
Beecher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
52.9% (993)
-12.7%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
72.7% (11)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
46.2% (221)
+3.8%
On power play, Beecher has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Bedard shoots right. Beecher is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Bedard
Beecher
Home
43.3% (785)
51.4% (562)
Away
38.9% (957)
52.2% (663)
By Period
Bedard
Beecher
P1
38.9%
53.8%
P2
41.2%
48.0%
P3
42.5%
53.8%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Beecher
40.0%▼
44.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Beecher |