Connor Bedard vs Jordan Staal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Bedard 46.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone Staal 51.0%
Defensive zone Staal 58.3%
Neutral zone Staal 56.1%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Bedard Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Bedard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
56.2% (989)
-12.0%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
66.0% (159)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
42.7% (253)
+11.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +12.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Staal shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Bedard
Staal
Home
50.7% (223)
55.4% (699)
Away
42.6% (331)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Bedard
Staal
P1
40.2%
55.7%
P2
49.2%
54.7%
P3
47.2%
53.4%
OT
57.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%
45.0%
45.8%
Staal
52.0%
52.5%
54.9%