Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Cooley 45.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 62.8%
Defensive zone
Bedard 71.2%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.1%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Bedard
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Bedard
Cooley
Last 10: Bedard 6-4 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
4
2
Bedard
Cooley
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
0
1
Bedard
Cooley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
Cooley
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
43.5% (421)
+0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
46.3% (82)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
57.1% (7)
-3.3%
On power play, Bedard has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Cooley is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Bedard
Cooley
Home
50.7% (223)
45.0% (240)
Away
42.6% (331)
43.3% (270)
By Period
Bedard
Cooley
P1
40.2%
44.1%
P2
49.2%
48.8%
P3
47.2%
37.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |