Connor Bedard vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Bedard wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs McTavish 48.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 56.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 64.0%
Neutral zone
Bedard 58.5%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Bedard
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Bedard
McTavish
Last 10: Bedard 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
6
Bedard
McTavish
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
4
3
Bedard
McTavish
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
48.2% (2,790)
-8.0%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
52.8% (436)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
34.3% (35)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Bedard shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Bedard
McTavish
Home
43.3% (785)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
38.9% (957)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Bedard
McTavish
P1
38.9%
50.0%
P2
41.2%
47.7%
P3
42.5%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |