Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Kadri 47.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 60.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 59.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Bedard
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bedard
Kadri
Last 5: Bedard 4-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Bedard
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
46.9% (848)
-2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
48.8% (86)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
38.5% (13)
+15.3%
On power play, Bedard has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Kadri is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Bedard
Kadri
Home
50.7% (223)
46.5% (495)
Away
42.6% (331)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Bedard
Kadri
P1
40.2%
52.6%
P2
49.2%
48.9%
P3
47.2%
40.1%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |