Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.6%). Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Kadri 46.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 64.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Bedard
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bedard
Kadri
Last 5: Bedard 4-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Bedard
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
46.5% (866)
-2.3%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
48.8% (86)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
38.5% (13)
+15.3%
On power play, Bedard has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Bedard
Kadri
Home
50.7% (223)
45.8% (513)
Away
42.6% (331)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Bedard
Kadri
P1
40.2%
52.4%
P2
49.2%
48.5%
P3
47.2%
39.7%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |