Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Elias 42.7% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Elias 51.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 55.1%
Neutral zone
Elias 50.2%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Bedard
Elias
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
42.3% (2,591)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
48.4% (405)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
36.0% (367)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Bedard shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Bedard
Elias
Home
43.3% (785)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
38.9% (957)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Bedard
Elias
P1
38.9%
41.1%
P2
41.2%
43.1%
P3
42.5%
43.0%
OT
42.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
44.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%