Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Hartman 45.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 71.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 61.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 71.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Bedard
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Bedard
Hartman
Last 10: Bedard 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
Bedard
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
45.2% (4,279)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
47.3% (446)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
42.4% (262)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Bedard shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Bedard
Hartman
Home
43.3% (785)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
38.9% (957)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Bedard
Hartman
P1
38.9%
46.1%
P2
41.2%
42.9%
P3
42.5%
46.7%
OT
42.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |