Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs McLeod 47.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 50.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 72.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 60.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Bedard
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Bedard
McLeod
Last 5: Bedard 5-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
4
0
Bedard
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
49.0% (827)
-4.8%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
44.0% (91)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
43.0% (272)
+10.8%
On power play, Bedard has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Bedard
McLeod
Home
50.7% (223)
48.5% (619)
Away
42.6% (331)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Bedard
McLeod
P1
40.2%
52.7%
P2
49.2%
43.9%
P3
47.2%
45.8%
OT
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |