Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Strome 45.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 54.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Bedard
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
45.4% (315)
-1.2%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
35.7% (28)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
50.0% (4)
+3.8%
On power play, Bedard has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Bedard shoots right. Strome is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Bedard
Strome
Home
50.7% (223)
42.6% (188)
Away
42.6% (331)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Bedard
Strome
P1
40.2%
38.6%
P2
49.2%
48.4%
P3
47.2%
46.2%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |