Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Steel 50.6% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 54.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 51.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Bedard
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
52.5% (200)
-8.3%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
71.4% (7)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
40.0% (45)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Bedard
Steel
Home
50.7% (223)
49.5% (109)
Away
42.6% (331)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Bedard
Steel
P1
40.2%
49.5%
P2
49.2%
47.5%
P3
47.2%
56.6%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%