Connor Bedard vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 52.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Bedard
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
58.5% (135)
-14.3%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
80.0% (5)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
44.4% (18)
+9.4%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Bedard
Karlsson
Home
50.7% (223)
63.7% (91)
Away
42.6% (331)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Bedard
Karlsson
P1
40.2%
54.4%
P2
49.2%
66.7%
P3
47.2%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%