Connor Brown vs Dylan Larkin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +27.4% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Brown 45.8% vs Larkin 52.2% (-27.4%)
Offensive zone Larkin 52.3%
Defensive zone Larkin 74.3%
Neutral zone Larkin 55.0%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Brown Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Brown
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (14)
51.1% (915)
-22.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
59.4% (261)
-59.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
48.2% (168)
-14.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +59.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Brown is 18.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Brown shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Brown
Larkin
Home
16.7% (6)
51.7% (686)
Away
28.6% (14)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Brown
Larkin
P1
20.0%
52.5%
P2
25.0%
52.7%
P3
33.3%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
0.0%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%
34.0%
25.0%
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.4%