Scouting Report
Jordan Szwarz holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Szwarz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 31.6% vs right-shot opponents — Szwarz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Szwarz 45.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 63.9%
Defensive zone
Brown 67.9%
Neutral zone
Brown 59.8%
Result
Connor Brown favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Brown
Szwarz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Brown
Szwarz
Last 6: Brown 1-5 Szwarz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Szwarz
0
3
Brown
Szwarz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Szwarz
0
1
Brown
Szwarz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Szwarz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Szwarz
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (115)
36.9% (65)
+2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
80.0% (5)
-80.0%
On power play, Szwarz has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Szwarz shoots right. Brown is 31.6% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Brown shoots right. Szwarz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Brown
Szwarz
Home
40.8% (71)
46.9% (32)
Away
37.0% (81)
34.2% (38)
By Period
Brown
Szwarz
P1
35.5%
33.3%
P2
40.4%
45.0%
P3
44.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
36.4%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.8%
Szwarz
40.0%▬
40.2%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Connor Brown |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jordan Szwarz |