Scouting Report
Jordan Szwarz holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Szwarz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Szwarz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.1% vs Szwarz 45.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 72.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 80.6%
Neutral zone
Brown 74.2%
Result
Connor Brown favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Brown
Szwarz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Brown
Szwarz
Last 6: Brown 1-5 Szwarz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Szwarz
0
3
Brown
Szwarz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Szwarz
0
1
Brown
Szwarz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Szwarz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Szwarz
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (312)
37.7% (77)
+1.1%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
80.0% (5)
-43.2%
On power play, Szwarz has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Szwarz shoots right. Brown is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Brown shoots right. Szwarz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Brown
Szwarz
Home
41.6% (245)
45.7% (35)
Away
35.6% (303)
36.2% (47)
By Period
Brown
Szwarz
P1
35.5%
30.3%
P2
40.6%
47.8%
P3
38.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
37.6%
18.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%
Szwarz
40.0%▬
40.2%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Jordan Szwarz |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | Connor Brown |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jordan Szwarz |