Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.1% vs Thompson 42.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.9%
Defensive zone
Brown 58.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 54.9%
Result
Connor Brown favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Brown
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brown
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Brown
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (313)
42.9% (3,540)
-4.2%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
46.9% (373)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (217)
33.6% (265)
+4.2%
On power play, Thompson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Brown is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Brown shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Brown
Thompson
Home
41.5% (246)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
35.6% (303)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Brown
Thompson
P1
35.3%
44.4%
P2
40.6%
43.7%
P3
38.6%
40.0%
OT
37.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
37.6%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |