Connor Dewar vs Dominic Toninato
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.6%). Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.7% vs Toninato 45.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 68.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 56.4%
Neutral zone
Toninato 52.7%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Dewar
Toninato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Dewar
Toninato
Last 9: Dewar 2-7 Toninato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
0
2
Dewar
Toninato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Toninato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
0
5
Dewar
Toninato
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (990)
45.5% (769)
-0.1%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
47.6% (21)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (180)
26.7% (45)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Dewar shoots left. Toninato is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Dewar
Toninato
Home
43.7% (575)
46.3% (404)
Away
46.9% (618)
42.9% (431)
By Period
Dewar
Toninato
P1
43.5%
40.7%
P2
48.1%
45.4%
P3
44.3%
47.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
45.3%
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |