Connor Dewar vs Dominic Toninato

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.6%). Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dewar 45.7% vs Toninato 45.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Toninato 68.8%
Defensive zone Dewar 56.4%
Neutral zone Toninato 52.7%
Result Dominic Toninato favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Dewar Toninato
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Dewar Toninato
Last 9: Dewar 2-7 Toninato

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
0
2
Dewar Toninato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar Toninato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
0
5
Dewar Toninato
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dewar
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (990)
45.5% (769)
-0.1%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
47.6% (21)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (180)
26.7% (45)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +16.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Dewar shoots left. Toninato is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Dewar
Toninato
Home
43.7% (575)
46.3% (404)
Away
46.9% (618)
42.9% (431)
By Period
Dewar
Toninato
P1
43.5%
40.7%
P2
48.1%
45.4%
P3
44.3%
47.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%
46.5%
45.3%
Toninato
42.0%
46.5%
44.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 31, 2023 3 10:12 Offensive Dominic Toninato
Dec 31, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Dominic Toninato
Dec 31, 2023 2 00:00 Neutral Dominic Toninato
Dec 31, 2023 1 11:28 Offensive Dominic Toninato
Dec 30, 2023 2 06:45 Neutral Dominic Toninato
Dec 30, 2023 1 14:49 Defensive Connor Dewar
Dec 30, 2023 1 14:38 Neutral Dominic Toninato
Feb 16, 2022 2 03:14 Neutral Dominic Toninato
Feb 16, 2022 1 11:27 Defensive Connor Dewar