Connor Dewar vs Dominic Toninato
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 44.9%). Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Toninato 45.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 60.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 64.5%
Neutral zone
Dewar 55.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Dewar
Toninato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Dewar
Toninato
Last 9: Dewar 2-7 Toninato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
0
2
Dewar
Toninato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Toninato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
0
5
Dewar
Toninato
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
45.9% (778)
-0.5%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
47.6% (21)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
26.7% (45)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Dewar
Toninato
Home
43.8% (603)
47.0% (413)
Away
46.3% (656)
42.9% (431)
By Period
Dewar
Toninato
P1
43.7%
40.8%
P2
46.7%
46.3%
P3
45.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |