Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Lindholm 55.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 56.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 86.9%
Neutral zone
Dewar 75.7%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Dewar
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dewar
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Dewar
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
54.8% (766)
-5.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.3% (175)
+37.7%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
52.2% (92)
-19.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Dewar is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Dewar shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Dewar
Lindholm
Home
50.0% (34)
56.6% (578)
Away
40.0% (55)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Dewar
Lindholm
P1
46.7%
55.2%
P2
30.0%
56.3%
P3
59.3%
56.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |