Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Svechkov 40.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 80.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 69.9%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 53.5%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Dewar
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dewar
Svechkov
Last 5: Dewar 2-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
1
Dewar
Svechkov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Svechkov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
2
Dewar
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
39.7% (790)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
41.2% (17)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
33.3% (9)
+8.4%
On power play, Dewar has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Dewar
Svechkov
Home
43.8% (603)
38.6% (428)
Away
46.3% (656)
41.0% (388)
By Period
Dewar
Svechkov
P1
43.7%
35.7%
P2
46.7%
44.5%
P3
45.0%
39.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |