Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Drury 57.0% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dewar 56.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 74.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 72.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Dewar
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Dewar
Drury
Last 10: Dewar 3-7 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Dewar
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
4
2
Dewar
Drury
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
3
Dewar
Drury
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
57.9% (2,010)
-12.5%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
58.5% (118)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
53.0% (300)
-11.3%
On even strength, Drury has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Home / Away
Dewar
Drury
Home
43.8% (603)
57.9% (1,234)
Away
46.3% (656)
56.7% (1,194)
By Period
Dewar
Drury
P1
43.7%
55.9%
P2
46.7%
58.7%
P3
45.0%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |