Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs McBain 46.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 56.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 58.9%
Neutral zone
Dewar 54.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Dewar
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Dewar
McBain
Last 10: Dewar 4-6 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
5
Dewar
McBain
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
48.1% (2,322)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
44.6% (56)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
35.6% (309)
+6.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
Home / Away
Dewar
McBain
Home
43.8% (603)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
46.3% (656)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Dewar
McBain
P1
43.7%
47.1%
P2
46.7%
47.4%
P3
45.0%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |