Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Spezza 54.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 64.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Dewar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dewar
Spezza
Last 5: Dewar 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
54.4% (7,990)
-9.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
56.8% (1,726)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
52.7% (643)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Dewar shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Dewar
Spezza
Home
43.8% (603)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
46.3% (656)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Dewar
Spezza
P1
43.7%
55.7%
P2
46.7%
54.4%
P3
45.0%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |