Connor Dewar vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 79.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 73.5%
Neutral zone
Dewar 51.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
47.3% (207)
+1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
33.3% (3)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.0% (34)
46.5% (129)
Away
40.0% (55)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Dewar
Kotkaniemi
P1
46.7%
51.3%
P2
30.0%
46.1%
P3
59.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%