Scouting Report
Joel Kellman holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kellman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.6% vs Kellman 48.1% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Kellman 60.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 64.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 53.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Dewar
Kellman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Kellman
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,027)
46.5% (275)
-0.9%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
75.0% (8)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (198)
50.0% (10)
-8.1%
On power play, Kellman has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kellman shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Dewar shoots left. Kellman is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Dewar
Kellman
Home
43.8% (603)
42.5% (146)
Away
46.7% (645)
52.4% (147)
By Period
Dewar
Kellman
P1
43.9%
48.0%
P2
47.0%
53.3%
P3
44.9%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.3%
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%