Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 80.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 87.4%
Neutral zone
Dewar 81.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Dewar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Dewar
Stenlund
Last 8: Dewar 1-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
6
Dewar
Stenlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
55.3% (2,738)
-9.9%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.6% (116)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
50.4% (924)
-8.7%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Dewar shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Dewar
Stenlund
Home
43.8% (603)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
46.3% (656)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Dewar
Stenlund
P1
43.7%
56.2%
P2
46.7%
53.3%
P3
45.0%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |