Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs McTavish 48.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Dewar leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 86.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 53.0%
Neutral zone
McTavish 69.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Dewar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Dewar
McTavish
Last 10: Dewar 8-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
1
Dewar
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
1
Dewar
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
48.2% (2,790)
-2.8%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.8% (436)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
34.3% (35)
+7.4%
On power play, Dewar has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Dewar
McTavish
Home
43.8% (603)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
46.3% (656)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Dewar
McTavish
P1
43.7%
50.0%
P2
46.7%
47.7%
P3
45.0%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |