Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Kadri 47.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 83.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 71.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Dewar
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dewar
Kadri
Last 5: Dewar 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Dewar
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
46.2% (1,005)
-0.8%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
57.3% (199)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
26.7% (30)
+2.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Dewar
Kadri
Home
43.3% (238)
47.4% (641)
Away
44.9% (265)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Dewar
Kadri
P1
41.7%
46.9%
P2
46.1%
49.5%
P3
44.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
44.1%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |