Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.3%). Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Krebs 46.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 54.5%
Defensive zone
Dewar 59.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 58.6%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Dewar
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dewar
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Dewar
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
47.2% (542)
-1.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
54.2% (24)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
31.3% (48)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Dewar
Krebs
Home
43.9% (189)
45.5% (312)
Away
49.3% (221)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Dewar
Krebs
P1
50.4%
46.6%
P2
50.0%
42.7%
P3
40.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
46.8%
Krebs
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |