Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Thomas 51.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Dewar leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 94.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 76.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 83.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 80.7%
19.3%
80.7%
Dewar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Dewar
Thomas
Last 10: Dewar 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
6
2
Dewar
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
51.1% (5,387)
-5.7%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
55.8% (927)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
50.2% (697)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Dewar shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Dewar
Thomas
Home
43.8% (603)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
46.3% (656)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Dewar
Thomas
P1
43.7%
50.7%
P2
46.7%
53.0%
P3
45.0%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |