Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Bennett 47.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 82.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 70.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Dewar
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dewar
Bennett
Last 9: Dewar 5-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Dewar
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
4
3
Dewar
Bennett
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
46.8% (5,714)
-1.4%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
53.6% (558)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
41.8% (256)
-0.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Dewar
Bennett
Home
43.8% (603)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
46.3% (656)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Dewar
Bennett
P1
43.7%
48.0%
P2
46.7%
46.5%
P3
45.0%
46.8%
OT
0.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |