Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Couturier 52.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 55.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 71.6%
Neutral zone
Dewar 67.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Dewar
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dewar
Couturier
Last 6: Dewar 2-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Dewar
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Dewar
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
52.5% (11,097)
-7.1%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
59.7% (1,280)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
48.5% (1,823)
-6.8%
On even strength, Couturier has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Dewar
Couturier
Home
43.8% (603)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
46.3% (656)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Dewar
Couturier
P1
43.7%
52.6%
P2
46.7%
52.6%
P3
45.0%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |