Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 56.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 91.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 74.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Dewar
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Dewar
Crosby
Last 10: Dewar 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Dewar
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Dewar
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
52.8% (18,031)
-7.4%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
57.4% (4,741)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
47.0% (766)
-5.3%
On even strength, Crosby has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Dewar
Crosby
Home
43.8% (603)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
46.3% (656)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Dewar
Crosby
P1
43.7%
53.6%
P2
46.7%
53.8%
P3
45.0%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |