Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 55.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 63.0%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 55.4%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dewar
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
51.4% (74)
-2.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
42.3% (26)
-10.0%
On power play, Dewar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Dewar
Lorentz
Home
50.0% (34)
52.9% (68)
Away
40.0% (55)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Dewar
Lorentz
P1
46.7%
58.6%
P2
30.0%
45.0%
P3
59.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%