Connor Dewar vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Girgensons 46.8% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 56.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 52.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 53.9%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Dewar
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
45.1% (164)
+4.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
45.2% (31)
-12.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Dewar
Girgensons
Home
50.0% (34)
44.6% (92)
Away
40.0% (55)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Dewar
Girgensons
P1
46.7%
44.2%
P2
30.0%
46.0%
P3
59.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%