Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Helm 50.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 68.4%
Defensive zone
Helm 54.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McDavid
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McDavid
Helm
Last 9: McDavid 3-6 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Helm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Helm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
4
McDavid
Helm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
51.1% (2,790)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
54.7% (148)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
48.0% (719)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Home / Away
McDavid
Helm
Home
49.3% (4,582)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
McDavid
Helm
P1
46.5%
49.5%
P2
48.7%
52.8%
P3
48.3%
49.7%
OT
42.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |