Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Backes 51.9% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
David Backes favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
McDavid
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
McDavid
Backes
Last 9: McDavid 1-8 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
4
McDavid
Backes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
4
McDavid
Backes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
52.1% (893)
-11.4%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
54.4% (147)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
49.3% (152)
+0.7%
On even strength, Backes has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. McDavid is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
McDavid shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
McDavid
Backes
Home
42.7% (323)
53.1% (573)
Away
39.5% (281)
51.1% (619)
By Period
McDavid
Backes
P1
42.3%
51.8%
P2
37.3%
52.3%
P3
43.4%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
41.2%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | David Backes |